Fantasy Football: 3 Bold Predictions for Week 16

Drew Brees Is Going to go Berserk

Don't think for one second that Drew Brees is trending down. He's not.

Sure, his fantasy points totals the last few weeks have stunk. He's averaged 175.5 passing yards, 1.5 touchdowns and an interception per game over his last 4 outings. It hasn't been pretty.

But the big thing we're missing when looking at these numbers is that Brees was playing on the road for his last three consecutive games. Teams historically play worse on the road, and the New Orleans Saints just had to do that three times in a row. And focusing on this stretch of games is missing the forest for the trees. Brees has been notorious for his home/road splits since joining the Saints.

Those splits have been especially pronounced in 2018. His adjusted yards per attempt spike almost 4 full yards when playing at home (11.57) as opposed to on the road (7.04), and he has a ludicrous 20:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in those home games. He's thrown nine more touchdowns in six games at home this season than he has in eight games on the road.

This week the Saints will welcome the Pittsburgh Steelers to the Superdome in what should be an exciting shootout of a game. The Steelers should be able to put points on the board against a good-but-not-amazing Saints pass defense, while the Saints should be able to pick apart a middling Steelers secondary.

Brees clocks in as the QB2 according to numberFire's Week 16 rankings. I don't think that's good enough. It's Week 16 and we're going bolder than we've ever gone before. Brees is going to have the single best fantasy performance of any quarterback in any game in the 2018 season.