5 Reasons Why Jaron Brown Will Be 2015’s Waiver Wire Darling
The Bruce Arians Offense
No one expects Jaron Brown to supplant even John Brown this year without an injury, but when you pick up an Arizona Cardinal, you are picking up a slice of the Bruce Arians offense, which is starkly underrated. The Cardinals, if you’ll remember from my article on team situations for backup receivers, are actually the second-best team by volume for a third wide receiver, and the 10th-best by Reception NEP value.
The average Cardinals’ number-three wideout since 2012 has averaged 87 targets, 625 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. That average comes out to around 80 fantasy points -- or 5 points per game.
If he had that amount of volume this season, based on his generous per-target efficiency from 2014 Jaron Brown could have north of 90 standard scoring fantasy points in a best-case scenario. That score was good for the WR49 in fantasy football in 2014.
If he only spot-starts, even an average of 5 points is just fine from a waiver wire pickup, a solid investment.