5 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups to Exploit in Week 4
San Diego Chargers Rushing Offense
Speaking of the aforementioned Latavius Murray, dude went off the heezy in his last start, rushing for 139 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries. Against which team did he post such delectable numbers? That would be the Cleveland Browns, who are now heading out west to face the Chargers. Let's see if they can do it again.
The Browns enter Week 4 ranked 29th in Adjusted Defensive Rushing NEP per play. They have gone up against the teams currently ranked 7th, 15th, and 17th in Adjusted Rushing NEP per play, so while they have had stiff competition, they're not facing the best of the best here. A lack of efficiency combined with sufficient volume can lead to some disgusting raw totals, and that's what we have seen so far from the Browns' defense.
The first three games this year, the Browns have allowed totals of 154, 166, and 155 rushing yards respectively. Even in the game where they defeated the Tennessee Titans, 28-14, the Titans were able to accumulate 166 rushing yards. This is not great, Bob.
That's not all. Vegas is screaming for a positive game script from the Chargers. They're favored by nine points, and they have the third highest team total of the week at 27. The only two totals higher than that are the Indianapolis Colts and Green Bay Packers, both at 29, and you're going to find the offensive pieces much cheaper with the Chargers than with those two teams.
The question now becomes -- which piece from the Chargers' backfield do you use? On the one hand, Melvin Gordon figures to get the bulk of the carries as he has had 34 carries this year when the team has been either leading, tied, or trailing by one possession. Danny Woodhead only has 14. On the other hand, as noted by 4for4's Chris Raybon this week, Gordon doesn't have a single target or carry in the red zone this year. Woodhead has nine. Which way do you go?
For me, it's Gordon. His red-zone usage is a concern, sure, but Woodhead's floor if the Chargers lead from wire to wire is way too low for my blood. Gordon figures to have higher ownership in GPP's as he has gotten a good amount of chatter on Twitter this week, so you could gamble on Woodhead hoping to snag some touchdown points. I prefer a higher floor -- even in tournaments -- than Woodhead provides, so my exposure to Gordon will be high.