DraftKings Daily Fantasy Football Primer: Week 14

In this DFS preview, I'll focus on the Sunday main slate and group players into two categories based on their DraftKings salaries: players to build around and value plays.

Players to build around are those with high salaries but even higher production ceilings, making them worth prioritizing in your lineup. Value plays are guys with lower salaries and typically come with some risk, but adding them to your lineup will help you afford the more expensive players on the slate.

All references to betting totals and spreads are from NCAAF odds. All stats are from Pro Football Reference unless otherwise noted.

Players to Build Around

QB Russell Wilson, Seahawks ($7,900) vs. NYJ

Maybe the New York Jets aren't purposely tanking, but their performance certainly isn't convincing us otherwise. Over their last five games, opposing quarterbacks are scoring 9.2 fantasy points above their average against New York. Russell Wilson is worth considering every week, but he'll have one of his highest ceilings of the year against this Jets defense that appears to be counting down the weeks until the offseason.

QB Justin Herbert, Chargers ($6,800) vs. ATL

Quarterbacks have scored at least 20 fantasy points in 10 of 12 games against the Atlanta Falcons defense and are scoring 6.6 points above their season average. If that trend holds true for Justin Herbert, he would be projected for 30.9 points. The Falcons' defense is the one unit you can feel comfortable targeting every week.

RB Derrick Henry, Titans ($8,700) vs. JAC

With the Tennessee Titans favored by 7.5 points over the Jacksonville Jaguars, the game script is likely to work in Derrick Henry's favor, giving him both a safe floor and a high ceiling. Henry is averaging 24.0 fantasy points per game in Titans victories and has reached at least 19 points in six of the eight games.

RB Chris Carson, Seahawks ($6,900) vs. NYJ

After being eased back into action in Week 12, the Seattle Seahawks gave Chris Carson his usual workload in his second game back from injury -- he played 57 percent of the snaps and saw 19 opportunities (13 carries, 6 targets). Seattle is one of three teams on the slate with an implied total over 30 points -- so there should be some scoring opportunities for Carson -- and the game script in this potential blowout could lead to a strong second-half workload.

WR Davante Adams, Packers ($9,300) vs. DET

The Detroit Lions' pass defense has been a liability all season, especially due to their inability to defend downfield. The Lions are allowing a 54 percent completion rate on throws 15 or more yards downfield, the third-worst rate in the league, according to Sports Info Solutions. 22 percent of Davante Adams' targets have come at least 15 yards downfield this year. This mismatch creates the possibility for Adams to turn in a few big plays, in addition to his usual steady production in the short passing game.

WR Keenan Allen, Chargers ($7,700) vs. ATL

The Falcons have allowed a receiver to reach at least 20 fantasy points in 9 of 12 games. With Keenan Allen commanding a 28 percent target share from Herbert, it's a safe bet to assume he's next in line for a big game against this Atlanta defense.

TE Hunter Henry, Chargers ($4,400) vs. ATL

A Chargers stack certainly makes sense against the Falcons' defense, and Hunter Henry can potentially be included. According to Sports Info Solutions, the Falcons are allowing a league-high 80.7 percent completion rate to tight ends and 8.2 yards per target.

Value Plays

QB Mike Glennon, Jaguars ($5,100) vs. TEN

Through two starts, Mike Glennon is averaging 38.5 pass attempts per game, which should give him a nice ceiling against a struggling Tennessee defense. In four of their last five games, opposing quarterbacks have scored at least seven points above their average against the Titans. On the year, quarterbacks are posting 4.6 fantasy points per game above their average against Tennessee, the third-highest rate in the league. According to Sports Info Solutions, the Titans pass rush ranks 30th in the league, generating pressure on just 30.2 percent of opponents dropbacks. This should give Glennon plenty of time to throw, potentially padding his stats while playing from behind.

RB Myles Gaskin, Dolphins ($5,600) vs. KC

After missing time due to an injury, Myles Gaskin stepped right back into the feature back role in the Miami Dolphins offense with 23 opportunities (21 carries, two targets). He should have some extra room to run against a Kansas City Chiefs defense which is allowing 2.5 yards before contact per attempt, the second-worst rate in the league, according to Sports Info Solutions. And if the game script dictates a smaller workload as a runner, Gaskin should still factor into the passing game -- he's averaging 4.6 targets per game.

WR Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers ($5,400) vs. WSH

Over his last four games, Brandon Aiyuk has commanded a 28 percent target share while averaging 21.0 fantasy points per game. This is an extremely discounted salary for a receiver who appears to be locked in as the number-one weapon in his offense.

WR Tyler Boyd, Bengals ($4,900) vs. DAL

Joe Burrow's injury destroyed the fantasy value of everyone on the Cincinnati Bengals offense, but they could temporarily bounce back this week against the Dallas Cowboys' defense. Per Sports Info Solutions, Dallas is allowing 9.3 yards per target to slot receivers, where Tyler Boyd has lined up on 90 percent of his targets. Due to an injury to Brandon Allen, Ryan Finley may be in line to start for the Bengals. During his brief career in Cincinnati, Finley has targeted his slot receiver on 38 percent of his attempts.

WR Denzel Mims, Jets ($4,100) vs. SEA

Denzel Mims' usage dropped off last week (three targets versus the Las Vegas Raiders), but he still leads the team with a 26 percent target share over the Jets' last four games. Mims also leads the team with 16 targets at 15 or more yards downfield, 43 percent of his total. Seattle has struggled defending the deep ball all season, allowing 46 receptions on throws of at least 15 yards, third-most in the league, according to Sports Info Solutions.

TE Noah Fant, Broncos ($4,100) vs. CAR

Over the Carolina Panthers' last six games, they've allowed double-digit fantasy points to seven different tight ends. During that span, opponents are completing 74.5 percent of their passes to tight ends at a league-high rate of 9.5 yards per target. Noah Fant has been a disappointing fantasy player this year, reaching double-digit points only three times, but this looks like a potential breakout game for the Denver Broncos' tight end.

Ryan McCrystal is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ryan McCrystal also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username cfbfilmroom. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.