Super Bowl Futures Betting Update: Week 12
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are thankful that the NFL world continues to amaze and astound, as they go into Week 12 once atop the bookies' list as the favorites to take home the Super Bowl. This is according to the latest odds from the NFL odds.
| TEAM | Odds | Implied Probability | NF Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +550 | 15.4% | 12.6% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +700 | 12.5% | 10.2% |
| Arizona Cardinals | +850 | 10.5% | 8.5% |
| Buffalo Bills | +900 | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| Los Angeles Rams | +900 | 10.0% | 10.3% |
| Green Bay Packers | +1000 | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1000 | 9.1% | 9.2% |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1200 | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| New England Patriots | +1400 | 6.7% | 7.2% |
| Tennessee Titans | +1600 | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2000 | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Cleveland Browns | +4000 | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +4000 | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +4000 | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| San Francisco 49ers | +6000 | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +6000 | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +7000 | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| New Orleans Saints | +7500 | 1.3% | 2.0% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +10000 | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +12000 | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Denver Broncos | +13000 | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +17000 | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Panthers | +28000 | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Washington | +39000 | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miami Dolphins | +55000 | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlanta Falcons | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chicago Bears | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| New York Giants | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Houston Texans | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| New York Jets | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Detroit Lions | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
The most notable line shift at the very top of the betting favors the Kansas City Chiefs. They were available at +1000 a week ago, and numberFire metrics gave them a 5.0% chance of taking home the title. But after suffocating the Dallas Cowboys in Week 11, the Chiefs now have a 10.2% chance by our numbers, and tickets are available on them at +700. The loss to the Chiefs did little to affect the Cowboys market, as they remain at +1000.
The biggest move into the secondary pack as it were was made by the Philadelphia Eagles. Their line has shifted all the way from +13000 to +7000 after the latest round of matches. Their numberFire odds are a mere 0.7%, but their recent form plus a favorable schedule has seen their chances improve considerably. According to our nERD metric, the Eagles have a 47.9% chance of making the playoffs.
The New England Patriots are another team that continues to rise in the betting. They are available at +1400, the fourth-best odds of any AFC team. The Pittsburgh Steelers are going in the other direction, however, with their line shifting to +10000 from +5000 a week ago.
