SOCCER

2018 World Cup: Finding Betting Value in Group Stage Point Totals

Tom Sokol Jun 11th, 2018
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Group H

Poland: Over 4.5 (6.06 projection)

Our models have Poland as the favorite for all three of their group stage matches, yet their over/under sits at a modest 4.5 points.

In fact, the Senegal game is more than likely to be a win for Poland (74% win chance), with Japan (58% win chance) also being a great chance for a victory. Their most challenging matchup, a fixture against Colombia, is very winnable (44% win chance and 32% draw chance), and even a mere draw in that game would give them a great chance at finishing with at least five points.

Here is a complete Group H Betting Guide.

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