SOCCER

Premier League Betting Guide for Sunday 6/21/20

Tom Sokol Jun 19th, 2020

Which Premier League matches offer betting value on Soccer odd? Let's see where we can zero in.

Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.

Newcastle vs. Sheffield United

Sheffield to win +135

Sheffield United were robbed of a victory due to an officiating/goal-line technology/VAR error in their first game back from break against Aston Villa midweek. They have been one of the surprises in the EPL this season, and they are still lurking in the race for the top four.

Newcastle are a poor team at 9W-8D-12 (13th place), but they are even worse according FBRef's expected goal model (19th) and WhoScored.com's team rankings (15th). These metrics indicate that Newcastle are lucky to be 13th in the table.

Sheffield United are battling for a possible European spot for next season, and they will likely push for a victory as this is a winnable game for them. Sheffield to win at better than even odds is a strong bet.

Everton vs. Liverpool

Liverpool to win -180

Liverpool have possibly the best team in the history of the EPL at 27-1-1 (93.1% win rate). They face a 12th-place Everton team that cannot even crack the top half of the table right now with a 10-7-12 record.

While Everton are winless in their last 21 Merseyside derbies across all competitions, they've played Liverpool tough in recent tries, losing by more than one goal just once in the past seven meetings.

There is no question that, in a vacuum, Liverpool should be an even greater favorite to win this game, as it is a complete mismatch. The main question is going to be what type of lineup will Liverpool put out since the Reds don't have a ton to play for (knocked out of the UCL and mortal locks to win the EPL). If Liverpool are anything remotely close to full strength they are a great bet to win at -180.