NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 5/24/22

Austan Kas  —  @AustanKas May 24th, 2022

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Luka Doncic Under 9.5 Rebounds (-104)

In the first three games of this series, Luka Doncic has totaled 7, 5, and 11 boards. Adding in regular-season games from this year, Doncic has gone under 9.5 rebounds in four of seven games against the Golden State Warriors.

He's averaging 7.7 boards per night in this series, and for the regular season as a whole, Luka averaged 9.1 rebounds.

Golden State has posted a rebound rate of 51.5% in the playoffs, the highest number among the remaining teams. The Dallas Mavericks, meanwhile, own a 45.3% rebound rate in the postseason, the lowest of all playoff teams.

We project Luke to pull down 8.9 rebounds in Game 4.

Draymond Green Over 13.5 Points + Assists (-125)

Draymond Green's points-plus-assists totals in the three games of this series have been 15, 11, and 13, but he's been unlucky in the assists department.

Green has amassed a whopping 10.7 potential assists per night in this series, according to NBA.com, but he's averaged just actual 4.3 assists. His adjusted assist total is an average of 7.0 per night. That's right at what we project him for in Game 4 as our model forecasts Green to get 7.4 assists tonight.

If Green gets seven-plus dimes, he doesn't need to do much scoring to get this to the over. That's good because he isn't scoring much.

With that said, he's tallied 10, 6, and 10 points in the series. And Green -- who shot 52.5% from the field in the regular season -- is due for a smidge of positive regression with his shooting after hitting just 42.7% (17 for 36) of his shots across his past four games.

We have Green pegged for 6.9 points and 7.4 assists today. That's 14.3 combined points and assists.