Market Share Report: Never Trust Doug Pederson

Red-Zone Market Shares

1. We Should Take Notice of Jeremy Hill

It has been sort of a rough year for Jeremy Hill. Early on, the Cincinnati Bengals were struggling, squeezing him and his rush-only game out of the equation. Then, once the Bengals finally had some easier opponents, he got hurt and lost heavy usage.

Now, Hill is healthy, the Bengals are playing competitive football, and his red zone usage is trending the right direction.

Over the past two games, the Bengals have had 19 total red zone opportunities. Nine of those have gone Hill's way, giving him a 47.4% raw market share in close. He had one carry inside the 10 on Monday night, and he had three such rushes in their Week 8 game before the bye. With Hill healthy again, it seems as if he has regained his team's trust, and he should regain ours, as well.

The Bengals have a few tough matchups ahead, but they also have some in which they should be favored. When those games roll around, we're going to want to give Hill consideration because his rejuvenated role in the offense has made him a potential week winner once again.

2. Demaryius Thomas Has Elevated Both His Floor and Ceiling

By now, you've probably figured out that Demaryius Thomas is trending steadily upward. He has at least 10 targets in five consecutive games, making his floor envious. But what has been less obvious is his increasing red zone involvement, and that's adding a lofty ceiling into the mix.

Over the past five games, Thomas has controlled 30.4% of the team's red zone targets. That ranks eighth among all wide receivers over that span, and he has multiple red zone targets in four of those five games. He still trails Emmanuel Sanders in red zone targets for the season, but things seem to be trending heavily in Thomas' favor.

The Denver Broncos have some intriguing matchups coming after their Week 11 bye. Based on what we've seen recently -- even with poor quarterback play from Trevor Siemian -- Thomas is very much in play for DFS, and he's worth a price check in season-long leagues, as well.