Re-Drafting the Quarterbacks From the 2012 NFL Draft Using Advanced Analytics
1. Russell Wilson
With a career NEP of 598.42, Russell Wilson would move up five spots -- and possibly 74 overall picks -- to number one. In his first four seasons, the sleeper of a third-round pick averaged an NEP of 129.35. To put that into perspective, Aaron Rodgers has accounted for an average of 139.45 over those same four seasons.
Wilson's best season was 2015-16, when he amassed 178.91 Net Expected Points, while his worst took place in 2013-14, finishing with just 107.29 NEP. However, with only four games remaining and 81.03 NEP through 12 games, Wilson might be on pace for a career-low.
Either way, the signal-caller hasn't missed a start in four-plus years, and he owns a passer rating of 100.3, according to Pro Football Reference. He's also the only quarterback here with a Super Bowl ring.
There's no way to tell if or how Wilson would have been a better choice for the Indianapolis Colts, but he -- like Andrew Luck -- has had to make due with some bad offensive lines of his own.
His running ability would help, but he would lack the elite Seattle Seahawks defense that's supported Wilson through his developmental years in the league.
