Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 15
Avoid Doug Martin as a Heavy Underdog
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are seven-point road underdogs versus the Dallas Cowboys.
Generally, you want to avoid running backs when they are underdogs of more than a touchdown because their team is likely going to abandon the run to keep up with the opposing team. Bookmakers are predicting a comfortable Dallas win and Bucs running back Doug Martin has struggled in these situations.
In 14 career games as an underdog of 7 or more points, Martin has averaged 8.83 half-PPR points per game.
Tampa has been hot lately and is 8-5 against the spread this season. However, Dallas is 9-4 against the spread and 7-1 against the spread in non-division games.
The man formerly known as Muscle Hamster is priced at $6,500, the 16th-highest price among running backs on FanDuel. At that price, he appears to be a value but lacks the upside to be worthy of a start in any format.