5 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups to Exploit in Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Offense

Although this matchups column focuses on efficiency, fantasy football operates a bit differently. Blake Bortles is not an efficient passer, ranking 23rd in Passing NEP per drop back of 40 quarterbacks with at least 100 drop backs. However, given his matchup and some of the weapons at his disposal, the inclusion of the Jacksonville Jaguars' passing offense is warranted.

In looking at passing games to target this week, the Jaguars are going to be a popular one after posting 51 points on the Indianapolis Colts last week. Additionally, they're in a good matchup against an Atlanta Falcons team that is 25th in Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP per play, the Jags are playing at home, and they are favored in a game with a lofty over/under. It's everything you look for in selecting a passing game, but you can likely still find ways to get exposure without swallowing the pill on high ownership.

Bortles appears to be in store for a good fantasy week, considering that's what he's been producing a majority of the season. However, I'm not likely to have him on my rosters.

Given the reasons listed above, Bortles is likely to be one of the more highly-owned quarterbacks of the week. However, his price has been on the rise, and his lack of efficiency still presents a lower floor than I'd prefer. I can't fault you for using Bortles, but I find there are better options at the position this week that you can likely find at lower ownership.

In targeting the Jaguars' passing attack, I want to look mostly at Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns, or Julius Thomas. This is where you can find efficiency in the offense.

Let's start with Robinson, who has clearly been the most impressive of the bunch. Of the 11 wide receivers with at least 120 targets this year, only Odell Beckham has a higher Reception NEP per target than Robinson. He has double digit targets in 7 of 13 games this year, and he has controlled 25.96 percent of the team's targets overall. Hopefully last week's rough outing will scare some off, though he's still likely to be on the radars of most. If you can afford him, plug him in.

Hurns has had the efficiency of Robinson; he just hasn't had the volume. He's second in the league in Reception NEP per target of all receivers with at least 80 targets. His relatively low target numbers take a hit on his floor, but he still has superb upside. I wouldn't use Hurns in cash, but he's a very nice tournament option if Robinson ends up being too highly owned.

Thomas -- to me, at least -- is the most intriguing option here. I tend to stay away from players who are so dependent on touchdowns outside of when their teams have large implied team totals. That's exactly what the Jaguars have this week.

Thomas has been involved in the offense since his return, seeing at least five targets in every game since Week 6. Over that span, he has garnered 19.61 percent of the team's targets. Although that's not the highest total among tight ends, it is respectable, especially when you consider the team total. Atlanta hasn't been terrible against tight ends this year, but with all of the factors operating in Thomas' favor, I see him as being one of the best options at the position.