6 Undervalued Fantasy Football Assets Based on Vegas Win Totals

Tony Romo, QB, Dallas Cowboys

Team Win Total: 9.5 | ADP: 13th-Ranked Quarterback

There are currently 11 teams that have a win total of 9.5 or higher; seven of them have quarterbacks in the top 10 in ADP, and two are the low-upside passing offenses in Kansas City and Minnesota. The other two? Those -- of course -- would be Dalton's Bengals and Tony Romo's Dallas Cowboys. Dalton's flying under the radar again, and we should probably fix that, but so, too, is Romo.

It's easy to understand the distrust of Romo with his history of chronic injuries and the team's apparent infatuation with running. But at the same time, he's a quarterback with a track record of efficiency, and that is far more important for quarterback fantasy purposes than volume.

Of the nine seasons in which he has recorded at least 200 drop backs, Romo has finished among the top five quarterbacks in Total NEP (which includes expected points added via rushing) in four separate seasons. He was in the top 10 two other seasons, and his worst finish over the nine years came in 2010, an injury-shortened season in which he was 17th on just 220 drop backs. This dude is one of the most efficient passers of the past decade, and he's still being drafted as a non-starting quarterback in 12-team leagues.

It isn't as if Romo is on the decline, either. In his last full season -- 2014 -- Romo was fourth in Total NEP, and he was second in Passing NEP per drop back behind only Aaron Rodgers. The last time that we got to see this guy fully healthy for a whole season, he was performing as well as he had in his entire career. Now, he returns to the league's best offensive line with healthy toys Dez Bryant and Ezekiel Elliott. That'll play.

This isn't to gloss over the concerns of volume and injury with Romo completely. Those still exist. But if the Cowboys completely morph into a run-only offense or Romo gets hurt, you will have plenty of options on the waiver wire for one-quarterback season-long leagues. You're not simply taking a zero in that spot the rest of the way. This allows us to peep Romo's upside, and that's how he separates himself from a good chunk of the rest of the pack in that ADP range.