NFL Betting: 4 Longshots Who Can Win Their Division

Cincinnati Bengals

Odds to Win Division: +900

After at least 10 wins and a postseason berth in four straight seasons between 2012-2015, the Cincinnati Bengals have won a combined 13 games over the last two seasons, finishing third in the AFC North in each campaign.

In 2017, they were middle of the road defensively, finishing with the 19th-best defense, per our schedule-adjusted models. But offensively, they were a disaster. Their -0.02 Adjusted Offensive NEP per play checked in 24th. They were unable to protect quarterback Andy Dalton sufficiently, with Dalton's 7.3% sack percentage the second-highest of his career.

The Bengals took steps to improve their offensive line situation this offseason. First, they traded for Buffalo Bills offensive tackle Cordy Glenn, then they used their first-round pick to select center Billy Price, in the hopes that the former Ohio State Buckeye can man the pivot spot better than last year's starter, Russell Bodine.

With the Pittsburgh Steelers, one of the Super Bowl favorites, in their division, the Bengals will have to improve significantly if they want to capture their first division title in three years. A well-protected Dalton would be a good start, and a greater level of efficiency from wide receiver A.J. Green wouldn't go amiss. Of the 27 wide receivers with at least 100 targets in 2017, Green's 0.10 Target NEP per target was the fifth-lowest mark.

But Cincy has thrived in similar situations in recent years. Per Cincinnati.com, of the Bengals three AFC North titles in the last 10 years, only once were they favored in the preseason to win the division.